Just going to put something out speculatively. Remember the silhouetted beach photo that Alice said the girls remarked on, that Ioan said he took but that later showed up on BWs Instagram? She said that he had told the girls it was his photo and they were all outraged when it turned out BW had the same one and they surmised that BW took it. What if, before the Instagram reveal of BW/IG, he had told the girls something/more about his relationship with BW? Alice started to lose it at about that point. Someone may have saved the screenshot as to to timing. Which to me might indicate the whole “I’ll never have a girlfriend” comment may have happened, but a lot earlier (as in, when they separated) and possibly because at that point, he didn’t have a GF and made the comment in good faith at that moment. I agree saying “never” was a poor move - if in fact it happened.
ETA: BW posted that photo on Oct. 9. The “finally smile” post was Oct. 27,