tbh I think he felt like public opinion of her is already damaged enough on this matter that he can get away with this, hence his attempt to put himself in the victim role with the "thank you for making me smile again" dig in reference to him having to live with such an abusive person (which she is based on her SM). And he is probably right to some extent: There is a lot less support for Alice than for other celeb women who were dumped (and possibly cheated on), and it will probably decrease the more she posts (as it already happened). Most comment sections are negative on her (here, mumsnet, dlisted, celebitchy, reddit, DM, etc., it's only really Social Media where it's more positive, but that's in parts because her people are controlling and in specialised blogs that are always biased), but they are also mainly negative on him because Alice pretty quickly established the cheater narrative and because the post with caption was dumbass in context.
The thing he probably underestimated is that his main fan base consists of 40-65 years old women (or thereabouts), and they will almost always side with a woman that was left, especially if cheating has possibly occured, no matter the fact that Alice is very obviously a unreliable narrator with all her contradictions. I have no idea if this will bite him or not. People claim that they boycot but in reality just more watch when this sort of stuff happens (no freaking soul would know of his TV show in France without this LOL), so unless he does something criminal (or Alice claims it, *cough* CP *cough*) or she releases tapes of him talking badly of high horses (cause at this stage I doubt that just saying it will make anyone relevant believe this, given how she is) I'm not convinced that it will really damage his career a lot, Alice has probably not the greatest reputation and she certainly will have it even less if she doesnt play a divorce by the book (while he does), it indicates that you could cause trouble on set too. Might actually work in his favour: he has mentioned before that his age/face now suits better to villain roles, might be a help if people dont associate you with a nice guy then LMAO. This all btw plays so heavily against Alice's and her people claim that he cares a lot about his good image, if he had he would have accepted all her demands.
My only problem is that I dont see a reason why he couldnt wait until he is back, and tells it his kids in person (I understand not telling them remotely, Alice would have tweeted this in an instant), cause atm he is totally playing with fire of Alice losing it while he is in France. It's a real safety issue. And if you have to leave filming because of a troubled personal life that definitely will not be helpful either. He probably would have played it perfectly had he waited till the next time he is in Oz, then you could have created a way more realistic timeline for him not cheating. But maybe Alice is right and his girlfriend got impatient at him not commiting soon enough? Maybe he was scared that paps will get them at some point (one reason why the cheater narrative isnt as prominent as Alice wishes is because he came out himself, cheaters are meant to be caughed)? Idk
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