Nicola Bulley #9

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You’ll notice I was careful with my wording…
Paul has never been named as a suspect.
I noticed that. 🤔

Your recap is phenomenal. Thank you so much. Super impressive! I don’t think I put that much effort into my dissertation 😅💖
 
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Except you cannot assume he’s innocent at all, as above the police have not stated they have ruled him out or ‘cleared’ him. There’s a lot of little things going on in Paul’s interview.
They have stated there is no evidence of any criminal activity. Which there isn't. I haven't seen anything at all to suggest third party involvement. I would love to know how people expect someone whose partner has vanished to behave in an interview to satisfy them that he isn't dodgy. Guy can't do right for doing wrong!
 
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I also find Emma White strange with the smirking & smiling etc. On the ch5 prog at the end of the interview she said bring Paul & the girls.. (quickly changed it to) their rock home. She looked really annoyed with herself & I wouldn’t have thought much of it as she might be nervous on tv which is understandable, however she made this exact same slip up on the interview by the side of the road .. she didn’t notice she had said it wrong & said bring Paul & the girls home.. it’s a strange way to say it anyway rather than just saying we need to find Nicki.
I’ve not read every single comment on every thread as I’ve only joined up tonight but she has also had pics with Dan Walker on her Facebook profile last year .. who actually decided to do this programme… I’m not suggesting Emma .. I just mean with the police not wanting to be involved at all.
I’m a bit confused on the “Paul and the girls” part. what was the context?
 
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Except you cannot assume he’s innocent at all, as above the police have not stated they have ruled him out or ‘cleared’ him. There’s a lot of little things going on in Paul’s interview. Yes I appreciate mannerisms but does being neurodiverse mean you show no emotion whatsoever?
He’s done an awful lot of interviews, why do you think that is?
I disagree he doesn't show any emotion, to me he looks like he's in shock and barely holding it together.

I think he's done interviews because he is trying to find the mother of his children and because he is in denial that she has probably drowned, that's what I think.
 
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I know many people are ruling him out based on ‘albi’ but the partner is highly suspicious to me, the fact he keeps appearing in interviews (police encouraging him or he’s enjoying it) he chosen to cover a bruise up he had in one of the earlier interviews, he uses language such as ‘fine out what happened’ almost a challenge to police, there’s also no emotion in his eyes.

Go rewatch Chris Watt’s TV appeal and see the lack of emotion and smirks. Paul had a smirk in his latest interview.

see smirk at 1:09


An alibi is an alibi.

Sorry, but most of what you have stated is just your opinion and has no basis in fact.
 
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The "bruise" is on his face in pictures prior to Nicola's disappearance, it's just a birthmark or bit of pigmentation.

If you ask me this bloke can't do a thing right. Appears in interviews and he's enjoying it/clout chasing etc. Doesn't appear in press conference with her parents and that's suspicious too.

The only similarity between this and the Chris Watt case is that a woman is missing. With Chris Watts he didn't even report his wife and children missing, a friend did. And the police suspected him immediately. He had no alibi. Paul has an alibi. He isn't a suspect.

As a neurodiverse person, so many of these comments are so incredibly frustrating because I know full well in the same situation I would be deemed to be suspicious too. I don't make eye contact, I fidget, I smile and laugh inappropriately (which by the way is a common shock/trauma response). You know what convicted Chris Watts? Evidence. Cold, hard evidence. Not armchair analysis of his facial expressions.
completely agree!
 
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I noticed that. 🤔

Your recap is phenomenal. Thank you so much. Super impressive! I don’t think I put that much effort into my dissertation 😅💖
I rewarded myself with a takeaway which arrived 5 mins after I posted it!
 
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As a neurodiverse person, so many of these comments are so incredibly frustrating because I know full well in the same situation I would be deemed to be suspicious too. I don't make eye contact, I fidget, I smile and laugh inappropriately (which by the way is a common shock/trauma response). You know what convicted Chris Watts? Evidence. Cold, hard evidence. Not armchair analysis of his facial expressions.
Yes I said this the other day as well. As a ND person it annoys me to know that if my partner went missing, I would 100% be deemed guilty by all of these armchair behavioural psychologists just based on my facial expressions and the way I speak.
 
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I noticed that. 🤔

Your recap is phenomenal. Thank you so much. Super impressive! I don’t think I put that much effort into my dissertation 😅💖
They have to have evidence of something to name him as a suspect. Given that the police don’t seem to be entertaining the idea that someone else was involved it makes me think that they’re more or less certain of what may have happened

I’m sure they have access to the contents of her phone and other things which would give them far more context to the relationship dynamic, her mental health or anything “weird” that was happening
 
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I honestly think this case shows that people have watched too many true crime documentaries on netflix. I'm not seeing any similarities at all here with Sarah Everard, Shannan Watts etc, other than the fact a missing woman is involved.
 
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An alibi is an alibi.

Sorry, but most of what you have stated is just your opinion and has no basis in fact.
Yes it’s an opinion, this is a thread of opinions, his so called albi, door camera footage doesn’t show him not leaving the house through other exits, unless someone has more detail? and doesn’t rule him out. That would be incredibly naive to think that.
It’s more interesting to me that so many of you are so keen to rule him out.
 
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Please read the recap if you are not up to date
Please don't be offended if you ask a question that's answered here and you're directed back to the recap rather than given a full answer.

Timeline:
0826 Nicola left home with her children and dog
0840 Nicola dropped her children at school and spoke briefly to another parent
0843 Nicola was seen walking along the path by the river towards the bench into the lower field
0847 (approx) Nicola was seen in the lower field by another dog walker. The dogs interacted and this dog walker knows Nicola
0853 Nicola sent an email to her boss
0859 Nicola sent a message to a friend
0901 Nicola joined a zoom team meeting - her phone was muted and her camera was off meaning her colleagues did not see or hear anything
0910 Nicola was seen in the upper field by another dog walker
0920 Nicola's phone was back in the area of the bench - this is confirmed by the Police through phone data
0930 the Zoom call ended but Nicola remained logged in
0933 Nicola's phone, along with Willow, the harness and lead were found at the bench area. The phone was on the bench; the harness was on the ground further down the bank towards the river (confirmed by Paul during Channel 5 Interview)
1050 Willow and the phone were still at the bench area. Paul was alerted and called the Police

The phone was still connected to Nicola's zoom call which had ended at 0930.
Willow (Nicola's dog) was loose in this area.

This video shows the small distance between gate, bench and river:


Doorbell footage has been shared of Nicola leaving home the morning she went missing to show the clothing she wore.
View attachment 1955062
There have been many discussions of whether this is actually Nicola, as some think it looks like her friend Emma. The fact remains that Nicola took her girls to school, and that cannot be disputed. Another parent spoke to her at school, and one of the sightings on the walk was someone who knew her personally.

There is some confusion over who loaded Willow into the car. During the Channel 5 interview Paul stated that if he was doing the school run and dog walk Nicola would load the girls and dog into the car, and vice versa, but that day Nicola was ready earlier than usual and she had them in the car already, even though she was the one taking them to school. He did not know why this was, just that Nicola was more organised that morning and ready earlier than usual.

Nicola parked at school, dropped her daughters off, and started the walk from there as usual.
View attachment 1955072
The fact that Willow's harness was off is normal - it was usually removed at the gate by the bench at the start of the walk, and put back on on the way back to the car.

Willow was dry when found, meaning that she had not at any point that morning been in the water. This has been discussed at great length over the threads so please search for it if you would like to understand more, or read this post for the quick version: https://tattle.life/threads/nicola-bulley-7.37276/post-13925742

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The lady who found them is believed to be the owner of Wyreside Farm Caravan Park which is very close to the bench and area that Nicola is thought to have entered to the river. This is not the same caravan site as the broken or non-functioning CCTV.
The lady secured Willow - apparently with string (we do not know why, when the harness and lead were there) - and left as she had an appointment. She recognised the dog but couldn't remember who the owner was, so called her daughter in law.
At 1050 the daughter in law attended the bench area and identified both Willow and the Lock Screen photo on the phone as Nicola's. She called Nicola's daughters' school, who in turn called Nicola's partner, Paul.
There is much speculation but no facts for the gap in time here.
Paul left home by car, calling the Police on the way to report Nicola as missing.
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Caravan Parks & Campsites
There has been confusion over the caravan parks:
Wyreside is a campsite near to the bench. The owner is alleged to have found Willow and the phone.
Rowanwater is a mobile home park next to the top field. This is where Nicola was last seen. This is where the broken / non-functioning CCTV is.

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Exits from the walking route are not all covered by CCTV - Rowanwater Mobile Home Park (camera not working) YELLOW and the Garstang Road exit PURPLE. CCTV does cover the riverside path (ORANGE) and the school (GREEN). Police are working to contact all drivers to obtain dashcam footage where possible on the A road but there were around 700 drivers to contact. Nicola's friends held an appeal for dash cam footage here on Friday 10/2.
View attachment 1955082——

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Search Efforts
A helicopter with thermal imaging was deployed, and divers were in the river, the day Nicola went missing.
Lancs Police have been using the caravan park as their base. All empty caravans have been searched, as have local empty properties along and near to the riverbank.
Nicola’s family are keeping all possibilities open in the hope of Nicola’s safe return, which is absolutely understandable.
SGI headed by Peter Faulding assisted the search efforts at the request of the family. Unfortunately, they found no trace of Nicola in the area they searched.

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Nicola's partner Paul
Paul has never been named as a suspect. This has always been called a missing person investigation by the Police so there are no suspects.
Paul is the father of Nicola's daughters. The fact her refers to 'the girls' or 'her girls' is irrelevant.
Paul has a mark on his face near his left eye which some think is a bruise; some think is from recent botox. It is visible on old photos seen by more than one person who have looked at Nicola's Facebook posts, so it is not a bruise or botox. It's likely to be pigmentation or a birthmark.

Nicola’s partner's businesses are a frequent question: has a business which is shown on Companies House as ‘compulsory strike off’ just after Nicola’s disappearance. This does not in any way suggest financial difficulties. It purely means the company was already in the process of being closed.
He is director of another company which is still trading, and he works in a skilled industry.
It is explained here https://tattle.life/threads/nicola-bulley-missing-4.37193/post-13873756

There is another previous company which has an address similar to Rowanwater Mobile Home Park. It is not linked to the mobile home park in any way. It is Paul and Nicola's previous house.

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Other / Misc
The area that Nicola walked in has frequently been referred to as a park, and many posters think there will be much local CCTV and Ring doorbell coverage. It is not a park. Nicola's walk was over fields, in the countryside by a village. The only CCTV is on businesses that happen to be there. There is no doorbell footage because there are no houses.

Lancs Police gave an update via press conference on Tuesday 7/2 confirming that they are still focussing huge resource on the search effort and asking the general public to avoid doing anything to make this any more difficult. Transcript here: https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/uk-news/nicola-bulley-missing-press-conference-26181487

The police have continuously stated that the most likely situation is that Nicola has sadly somehow entered the water, but they remain open to all possibilities and fully investigate all information they receive. There have been 40 detectives working on the case.

Although the water was only around 2.5-3.5ft deep where Nicola is thought to have fallen in, the bank is high and steep. The police diver had to be helped out.
View attachment 1955070

Cold water shock can mean that you are incapacitated quickly and silently. Info here: https://www.rya.org.uk/knowledge/safety/look-after-yourself/cold-water-shock

It's also possible that Nicola was unconscious before she entered the water, for example following a medical episode, or that she slipped and hit her head on rocks under the water.

This post gives more information about why a body may not be found in a river: https://tattle.life/threads/nicola-bulley-8.37288/post-13940903

A GoFundMe page was set up on Monday 6/2 by family friend Emma with a target of £100,000. This was quickly changed after social media unrest to £50,000, then £5,000. Shortly after, the page was closed before it raised even £500, and the friend posted on Facebook to state that the family didn’t initially know she was doing it, and she was just trying to help.

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There have been mixed messages about a possible mental health element on previous threads.
Any speculation here about Nicola's mental health should come from a place of concern, not judgement.

Anyone who has struggled, or is struggling, with mental illness knows that at times it is more powerful than anything else and takes over all rational thought. If that has played a part in Nicola going missing (which - to be clear - her family or Police have not suggested) it does not mean that she doesn't love her family, especially her children, more than anything in the world.


Please be mindful of Nicola’s family with any comments made ❤
Amazing recap thank you ❤
 
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Yes it’s an opinion, this is a thread of opinions, his so called albi, door camera footage doesn’t show him not leaving the house and doesn’t rule him out. That would be incredibly naive to think that.
It’s more interesting to me that so many of you are so keen to rule him out.
What? The doorbell camera footage does show that he did not leave the house.
 
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They have stated there is no evidence of any criminal activity. Which there isn't. I haven't seen anything at all to suggest third party involvement. I would love to know how people expect someone whose partner has vanished to behave in an interview to satisfy them that he isn't dodgy. Guy can't do right for doing wrong!
It’s possible that *if* evidence of criminal activity were to appear, that this could then change. I appreciate your points and they are certainly valid. It’s a really tit situation for him to be in if he’s done nothing wrong. Unfortunately, people will always speculate and wonder now, unless Nicola is found.

Just as an aside, I’m also neurodivergent. I hyperfixate on things to the n’th degree. Like this story, for example!( We don’t know that he’s neurodivergent, that’s also speculation. Just to say. 💖
 
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Yes I said this the other day as well. As a ND person it annoys me to know that if my partner went missing, I would 100% be deemed guilty by all of these armchair behavioural psychologists just based on my facial expressions and the way I speak.
Is Paul ND then?
 
I'm not keen to rule him out either, I just think there is nothing that suggests criminal activity, and when someone goes missing next to a river by far the most likely outcome is that they have fallen in and drowned. I think actually the opposite is true, I think people are keen to rule him in and believe it is all suspicious because the more likely outcome is not interesting enough for them.
 
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