I posted the sentencing guidelines that the judge will use on a different thread. The mitigating/aggravating factors lean towards custodial but you never can guess how these things will turn out.
I am not a lawyer, but I have a vague (as good as it gets in the enforcement side) idea how these things play out.
1) He pleaded NG. So loses any discount at sentencing
2) He will turn up and give it his best Ali G, which will not impress the bench
3) IF he is representing himself, see point 2
4) On conviction he will become a Registered Sex Offender and subject to all the restrictions that follow. This is a PERSONAL view, but he cops a suspended/community order and it will actually be worse. If hes locked up, the restrictions on life that come with being an RSO wont affect him. I posted a fairly detailed breakdown of the joys that await him. Im sure more learned members can find it as I'm f*cked if I can
5) He gets a suspended sentence, I would guess he’ll breach it in about 15 minutes
6) He’s an utter spunktrumpet
Ultimately, the outlook is not good however it is disposed of
On conviction for the offence he is there for, regardless of disposal its 5 years