Lucy Letby Case #68

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It’s not a percentage though. It’s deaths per 1000. There is no way 1000s and 1000s went through the neonatal unit in the time period. More like 400.
It's the number of neonatal deaths per 1000 live births, so if there was 12 neonatal deaths out of 3000 livebirths it would be 4. Its probably not a measure of how many died in Chester's NICU. Science on trial have asked for figures under a freedom of information request presented them in a graph but not interpreted what they actually mean.

Neonatal death does not necessarily mean died in a NNU, it means a baby that breathed when it was born then died within weeks.
 
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Yes but the yellow ONS figures represent the area wide figures for all babies.
How can they be the same as a unit that does not take all the babies in the area, but only took about 1 in 7? Considering the unit had a much higher death rate for those years?
I don’t get it.
 
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The yellow bar shows how many neonatal deaths per thousand live births for mothers living in West Cheshire, its a huge area and many of those babies will be born at other hospitals. The bar is less for 2015 and 2016 because there are more live births and only the babies who were resident in West Cheshire but died in Chester's NICU would be counted.
 
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I get the yellow bar. Not the grey.
 
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I still don't know what they intend to do with this information. Even if it was showing what they did, it would literally prove nothing. Nothing at all. A premature baby can die of many things. It could be a stillbirth etc.

How do they not get that they have to prove murder, not deaths? Surely these people do not have a basic education?
 
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Tattle, stop it! Would rather wear the excrement of my vile next door neighbour!
 
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I get the yellow bar. Not the grey.
Think the grey bar shows the ratio of neonatal deaths out of 1000 births born at the Countess of Chester. The grey bar shows the 2015/2016 spike in NNU deaths followed by a big fall after Lucy's removal.
I do know what you mean about the 13 deaths if it was out of 3000 live births it should be higher but it will depend on how many live births and which years they fall into.
 
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Eek, obviously statistics are not my strong point!
I was kind of forgetting that those figures included maternity at CoC and not just the unit, and that some of the babies died when they were past the 28 day neonate cut off.
So for some years there were no neonatal deaths at CoC, is that feasible? Unless there was a vast reduction in the number of babies born there.
Not in anyway a great chart if it’s supposed to illuminate what actually happened on a specific unit where what happened in maternity didn’t have much relevance.
Yip, I’ll keep away from statistics
 
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Post Lucy there have definitely been some years with no deaths on the unit. They’ve only had one death in 7 years since she was put on admin. I think there were some years with no deaths pre her arrival too but can’t remember for sure.
 
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So Letby went running to daddy when she was removed from the neo natal ward in 2016 so she couldn't harm babies anymore, she was in her mid 20s by this point. Did she think if daddy spoke to the hospital it would all go away. It is beyond belief that after this the consultants who suspected her had to write a letter of apology. Also, who does her father think he is interfering when the consultants had genuine concerns and we're proven right in court. Did he seriously think he knew better than them. Mr Letby might be narcissist like his daughter.
 
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Post Lucy there have definitely been some years with no deaths on the unit. They’ve only had one death in 7 years since she was put on admin. I think there were some years with no deaths pre her arrival too but can’t remember for sure.
Agreed, but if these deaths also include those that happened on the maternity unit…
Anyway, it’s beyond me. And also beyond the person who made this chart up I think
ETA: Ok, if all (or nearly all) deaths at CoC toook place in the neonatal unit, the 3.25 per thousand statistic would mostly be concentrated there. So if 3000 (I don’t know if that’s the correct figure) births at CoC resulted in 3.25 deaths per thousand that would be approximately 13, all mostly in the neonatal unit.
For fuck sake…that took a while.
What is that bloody chart supposed to be proving, Ffs

I’m probably wrong again.
 
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It's a confusing chart as the data is not comparible. They were trying to make the point with the yellow bar that because COCH was down graded to level one NICU that the babies were still receiving poor care but then transferred to die at another unit. The babies at each maternity unit are a mixture of in and out area babies so the grey and yellow bars don't necessarily show the same population or give any idea as to why that baby died.

They are assuming that all the West Cheshire babies were born at the Countess but died in another unit thus showing a reduction in Chester's neonatal death rate. This won't actually be the case as many of those babies will have been born somewhere else. The Countess of Chester will care for babies from Wales and Merseyside if Lucy had killed an out of area baby it would show in the grey bar but not the yellow one.
 
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Wow I’ve just read the first part of when the verdict came out you guys people moan about tattle but honestly what a lovely community we’ve got here we all said we wanted to be there for verdict but we also would’ve liked to see how it all unfolded, someone mentioned her work colleagues saying the alarms always went off on her shifts I’ve not seen this anywhere, what else did they say? Is there anywhere to find it?
 
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Thats the only bit I could find about staff concerned alarms going off, I think original was on sky news at the time.
The current staff have all been very quiet but I think they were told by the trust not to speak about it.
Not sure if I have said previously but thank you for your court reports was so informative, can’t believe the mother was shouting at Janet Cox after all she’s done to support them!
 
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Thank you for your heroic attempts at trying to explain to me!
I’m getting that the data is incomplete so pretty useless in that format.
I usually avoid these things like the plague.
 
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Aww Thankyou I know I couldn’t believe it. Even now Jan is saying she’s innocent
 
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Thank you for your heroic attempts at trying to explain to me!
I’m getting that the day a is incomplete so pretty useless in that format.
I usually avoid these things like the plague.
You reach a point where "the science on trial" people start to do your head in as everything they produce is just wrong and doesn't make sense. I understand some are probably kind people wanting to help but what would free Lucy is beyond them hopefully beyond everyone.
 
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It’s actually being discussed live on bbc parliament now although think we’ve missed most of it.

ETA you can ‘rewind’ back to the start. About 4pm.
 
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Yes they do. They’ve been really getting to me over the last week. Today I looked at their latest post & I thought, they are going over old ground & basic stuff that we’ve all discussed over the months & I came to the conclusion that they must think everyone is stupid, the jury, the prosecution, the defence, the judge, the witnesses, the police, the public, literally everyone. I’m sure that all the alternative medical reasons they are coming up with for babies deaths & collapses have been investigated & have been discounted by experts & I suspect that they are throwing much weight behind medical reasons that would have the tiniest chance of being correct. People like the Trump freak on twitter are just gaslighting bullies & after the radio interview Dick did with that awful Kate Shemirani, surely people won’t trust a word they say
 
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