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Yel

Chatty Member
Moderator
Wow didn't expect that at all. Gutted I've been so busy and unable to listen to all this live.

Totally agree with @MunkyMagic apart from the splitting of the second vote, I don't think people would stand for such a loaded second vote.
 
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MunkyMagic

Well-known member
I didn’t say the RW were gaining traction because of the EU, but because of globalist policy which is what the EU is currently following (and why it is being felt around the world).

I don’t believe the far right is benign, as you yourself was at lengths to point out in an above post.

I also didn’t say the EU was to blame but was a vehicle for potential power (which is my fear) as I say again - too much power in the hands of too few.

No offence but unless you actually argue the points I’m making rather than the points you seem to want to think I’m making, there’s not much point in batting back and forth. ?‍♀

I listen to a huge variety of commentary on Brexit, from socialist Owen Jones (who you quoted) to toff Con Jacob Rees-Mogg. I’ve never towed a party line and like to balance my judgement by taking in as much conflicting info and facts as I can. I don’t think that’s naïveté, I think that’s listening to arguments and assessing for oneself. There’s bullshit from all quarters, to be frank.

I absolutely agree that inequality (of opportunity) is one of the biggest social issues faced today, and one that causes massive unrest (look at riots throughout Britain) but I feel this is best managed in the UK by our own parliament rather than from Brussels.

In a nutshell, my position is EU is great for capitalism and trade; not so great for policy and I personally think a globalist pursuit is dangerous.
 
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Yel

Chatty Member
Moderator
The attorney general has said the UK could be still held in the backstop with the withdrawal deal ammended last night.

So looking like another heavy defeat tonight.

Then they will probably vote against leaving without a deal making it all even more confused than ever what the next steps will be.
 
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Mayday

VIP Member
Its honestly worrying that there's only 2 weeks to go and its only just being sorted now. They had 2 years to sort shit out.
 
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MunkyMagic

Well-known member
I’ve seen how much money the EU has invested in Wales and it’s infrastructure, I’ve seen how much it’s tried to help the poorest areas of the U.K. when our government didn’t want to, I’ve seen how much their laws and policies have helped us (environmental, workers rights). The EU has done more for the most vulnerable in our society than any government.

I have a bleak outlook because trade deals take years upon years to negotiate (from negotiating to signing on average 18 years, from negotiating to implementation 45 years (1)). We don’t have that time. The EU and it’s customs union are the best in the world, that’s why so many companies choose to deal with it. A No Deal Brexit will be a disaster, the EU won’t budge on their deal (as they rightly shouldn’t - they made their position clear and quite honestly, why should they bend over backwards for us) and the MPs said no to May’s deal. If you’re truly naive enough to believe a No deal Brexit, won’t be the worst thing to happen to this country since the economic crash, maybe even before then, you truly truly are bitter and fell for the propaganda presented by the Eurosceptics who’re only in this to make the rich richer. I’m sorry, but the Good Friday agreement (2, 3, 4), trade deals (we receive nearly 80% of our imports from the EU; we don’t produce enough of our own medications), are too serious to piss about over.

(1) https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/07/how-long-do-trade-deals-take-after-brexit/
(2) https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp....-border-brexit-backstop-good-friday-agreement
(3) https://www.archive.is/oldest/https...hreatens-good-friday-agreement-irish-pm-warns
(4) https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www....mulls-amending-good-friday-agreement-get/amp/
I haven’t said I want no deal Brexit or that it will be good for the UK economy. In earlier posts I said leaving the EU would be awful for our economy in the short term. You’re clearly very interested and read on the subject, but seems like you get a red mist and view opposing opinions in stereotype boxes and it feels like I’m being misrepresented just so you can strike off your points of argument.

I really want a deal. (Unfortunately the options on this thread’s poll didn’t include leave with a deal).

This article from foreign policy.com pretty much summarises why I want to leave:

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/foreignpolicy.com/2018/11/15/is-europe-falling-apart/amp/

Just on your links:
(1) is from 2016, when Obama was President. Trump has indicated he is ready to negotiate and quickly https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-politics-46428677
I also skim read and couldn’t see the 18 year negotiation to 45 year implementation figure in the source, I saw 1.5 average for bilateral but I am pretty knackered so could’ve missed it!

(2) and (3) are pretty biased coming from The Guardian (I read it but do acknowledge the slant). But I agree NI is extremely worrying. I’m hoping that there will be some common sense applied and concessions to keep peace and economic interest for all concerned. I think the trade side is easier to deal with than keeping the peace.
 
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Horatio

VIP Member
Yeah of course - their events calendar runs 5 years in advance! I don’t mind the royals either in just as confusing a way as on paper they represent everything I am against. But I find this is quite a common, if paradoxical, feeling to have. There is something quite facisnating about the life they lead. It’s so ridiculous. Anyway, back on topic ...

Something about that headline and story - and the fact it’s from the times, not a tabloid sensationalist paper - just made our whole sorry , scary situation feel quite apocalyptic.
 
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MunkyMagic

Well-known member
^ if you think political revolution can’t spin on a penny you’re ignoring the Arab Spring of 2010. Especially in these days if social media. Plus you’re so hellbent in being right youre making strawmen arguments.

  • The EU puts too much power in the hands of too few.
  • Populist, right wing parties are gaining traction because of EU globalist policy.
  • The EU is fracturing because of globalist policy.
  • Populist parties have more chance of being voted into the EU than they do as a sovereign power.

I don’t believe that ideologies will be changed and didn’t suggest such a thing, but believe that right wing momentum and pressure in the UK will be dissipated. At the moment, right wing parties are gaining ground across Europe hand over fist and you will not be able to stop them being legally represented if they’re voted in.

The EU needs radical reform. Because it won’t, the next best option is to leave. Political and cultural stability is the most pertinent issue.

Again, your mileage may vary. There will be economic turmoil - which nobody wants, of course - but I’m hopeful there will be common sense applied to make it less painful than it could be.
 

Yel

Chatty Member
Moderator
Agree the bendy bananas are a myth, embarrassing that people keep believing it. There's plenty wrong with the EU, but does being a member do more harm than good is the real question? For me yes; I like the food standards, animal welfare and working regulations. But I can see how a lot are having a shit time and see little benefit of the EU for them.

What Corbyn wants personally and as the leader of the opposition are two very different things! He missed out on a trick by not voting for her deal, that would have lead to the DUP not supporting May in a vote of confidence and triggering a general election.

I'm not even an EU citizen (through a confusing family history) even though I grew up in the UK.

I blame Blair and Brown for everything, but I think they need to take more responsibility for the state we are in now. These things don't just happen overnight, its been building for a long time. Our in work benefits in the UK are a right mess, long term subsidising the wages of big corporations to pay very little then get topped up by the taxpayer. It just isn't sustainable to keep doing that long term and plenty could pay the CEO less and the workers a wage that they can live off.

Is anyone reading this from other European countries? I do wonder what the average person thinks over there. In Greece and Italy I keep hearing that the younger generations are very anti EU due to the huge debts they've been saddled with.
You blame Blair and Brown, I’m sure there’s some strong links that will only become clearer over time. But I can’t help but be furious with David Cameron.
I know what you mean, Cameron has some of the blame and could have defused the situation had he been more effective. But my gripes with B&B are more over creating the situation that has led to where we are. So many countries are having the kind of conflicts we are because of these things building up imo.

Imagine all the things the government could be working on without this?!
Yep, its totally paralysed the government and will do for a long time. :(
 

Inkling95

Active member
Hi, yes of course. My main issue is political control. When the EU was created is was primarily focussed on economic trade and I think that the net benefit of gloabisation has been achieved to the member states. I am under no illusion that leaving the EU will cause short term economic problems. But economic booms and slumps are easier to rectify than cultural and political shifts.

The political influence in the EU - particularly globalISM (not globalisation) and free movement of people is allowing far right populists to gain traction as evidenced throughout Europe. It is dangerous, particularly as the EU is becoming fractured. It will result in far right political parties gaining more than a toe hold in power through democratic representation. The biggest threat of that is of course that so much power is held in the hands of so few. My opinion - and of course your mileage may vary - is that the political clout of the EU needs to be lessened. I cannot see an extreme political party gaining power in the UK as a sovereign nation before I can see it getting significant representation in The EU.

i just want to add that I appreciate that Brexit brings out a passionate response in people; we all get frustrated at those on the other side of the argument that cannot see or agree with our POV. However a condescending tone of implying stupidity and buying propaganda is rarely helpful to your cause, just causes barriers to dialogue and debate, hence gridlock ?‍♀
The change in right wing ideaology has nothing to do with the EU, it’s a wave that’s been seen throughout the world. We have immigrants from all nations yet you blame the EU for that? It is 100% to do with propaganda, that’s what the entire VoteLeave was based on. Dominic Cummings saw the potential to prey upon people’s ignorance with the EU “Take back control” we have control, as well as a say in the EU and how’s its run.

Being illogical isn’t stupidity. Anyone can be susceptible to propaganda, that’s inherently WHY it exists. It’s to persuade its audience. If you honestly believe the right wing ideologies will be lessened with leaving the EU, you’re incredibly naive, as the statistics of all the racist and right wing attacks (Remember pro-remain MP Jo Cox being murdered) say otherwise. https://assets.publishing.service.g...data/file/652136/hate-crime-1617-hosb1717.pdf
 

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MunkyMagic

Well-known member
To add on, if we do leave the EU, this will inevitably cause more countries to follow, especially those with a more right wing populist party. Leaving the EU will cause an even larger wave of right wing parties taking power due to disenfranchised civilians thinking that Trump and Brexit will stop the refugee crisis and the terror attacks. The right wing parties prey upon those ideals. Brexit will cause the biggest resurgence in right wing ideals we haven’t seen in our lifetimes. The Good Friday agreement will be null and void, and that will cause so many issues and fractures with Ireland, leading to catastrophic violence. Quite frankly, as we inherently do have control over our own policies, as well as have a say in the EU’s vetos (maybe don’t vote for an MEP who doesn’t turn up to Brussels then bitches about not having a say), there’s no argument. Brexit will cause too much death, violence, and intolerance in an already uneasy society.
That’s where I think we differ - what I have a real concern over is some of the more nefarious groups throughout the EU joining forces and gaining a central ‘legitimste’ power base in Brussels. MEPs easier to elect in a one to one basis. It’s literally gaining momentum day on day. We’ve already seen Geert Wilders banding with Tommy Robinson; the populist parties being celebrated. It’s not going away. In individual countries the power effect is diffused - a right wing party will have to go some to defeat Lab or Con in FPTP to gain control. The most they can do is be a fringe pressure group.

I have to say if leaving has such a bleak effect as you forecast, it really only solidified my opinion that the EU has morphed into an all-controlling power monster, totally insensitive to the nuances of its member states’ political landscape and economies. Like the Hotel California, you can check out any time you like, but you can never leave. And that includes when it implodes (which it’s going to do whether we stay or leave)
 

Tulips

Well-known member
@Yel- I don't know much about it but the way I see it, it probably wasn't a good idea for certain 'corrupt' countries entering into the Euro currency which caused the debt issues. Some of my relatives in Cyprus have lost faith in the EU after the bailout situation a few years ago, I'm assuming people in Greece may feel the same. I suppose it's a love/hate relationship.
 

Sabbie

VIP Member
Did anyone watch the documentary called "Inside the Foregin Office" last year? If you can still watch it, do so! It was very enlightening and goes far beyond what any of us can comprehend about dealings with the EU.
 

MunkyMagic

Well-known member
Here’s some more: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2018/...ocialism-requires-transnational-organization/

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/amp..../hard-right-brexit-tory-revolution-no-deal-eu

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/fore...-brexit-will-destroy-the-british-economy/amp/

https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.independent.co.uk/voices/brexit-economy-corbyn-labour-lexit-dont-believe-the-myth-a8184836.html?amp

I cannot find any articles or papers which confirm that Brexit will reduce right wing groups. In fact, the majority seem to support the opposite and go into great detail on why Brexit will increase them (clue: austerity due to economic collapse).
Just to reiterate my point - my argument isn’t that Brexit will reduce groups in size but diffuse their power gains.